forecasting, Tag

The European Center for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) has made its Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) the first such fully operational weather prediction model that uses machine learning and artificial intelligence...

with Aardvark, researchers have replaced the entire weather prediction pipeline with a single, simple machine learning model. The new model takes in observations from satellites, weather stations and other sensors and outputs...

For climate science to have any credibility, it needs to grapple honestly with its uncertainties—not reframe every miss as proof of an unknowable, ever-shifting reality...

Although Project 2025 has hits and misses regarding NOAA,  NOAA acutely needs reform.   Major reform.   Reform that will enable it to serve its mission better.   Reform that will make it more effective and reduce...

Steve Milloy of JunkScience summed it up aptly by calling Mann’s prediction “the wrongest count ever predicted.” While that might sound harsh, it’s tough to argue with the numbers. Mann didn’t just miss the bullseye—he...

Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely contradict the conventional theories on climate...

As I noted at the time, the Met Office’s warning did not even tally with their own 3-Month Outlook, and was clearly designed as pure spin intended to scare the public.

Professional climate alarmist Michael Mann said human-caused global warming would prime the Atlantic Ocean to produce 33 named storms and several major hurricanes to lash the United States...

In any case, our actual forecast is looking darn good.

Could somebody remind me why we need a Met Office?

He had predicted “a summer of hell with almost complete certainty”. We reported. As early as March 2024, some meteorologists raised concerns about this forecast.

Hurricane Season 2024 officially kicks off Saturday, June 1 and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a more-active-than-normal season in the Atlantic.

...given the poor track record of the past, there’s a good chance that NOAA and the media will have egg on its collective face again at the end of 2024

Climate science keeps contradicting itself

We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active.