forecasting, Tag

...there are powerful arguments about why the radiosondes are no longer as important to weather prediction, and particularly whether the temporary loss of a few of them would make much of a difference.

As the gamut of U.S. defense contractors gear up to compete for the Golden Dome, every type of advanced technology will be on the table, including space-based sensors, hypersonic interceptors, all domain phased array radars,...

..in Germany it seems a number of German weathermen have been getting acutely aroused every time a model sees a heat wave in the pipeline 2 weeks out. The media make headlines out of them.

I have asked the Met Office to supply the March to May outlook, which does not pop up on Wayback, unlike the above one. When we get the actual numbers for May, I will update. But these 3-Month Outlooks are clearly not worth...

this dropout problem has been going on for years and has nothing to do with budget cutbacks, fired personnel, or some weather balloons not being launched. 

The European Center for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) has made its Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) the first such fully operational weather prediction model that uses machine learning and artificial intelligence...

with Aardvark, researchers have replaced the entire weather prediction pipeline with a single, simple machine learning model. The new model takes in observations from satellites, weather stations and other sensors and outputs...

For climate science to have any credibility, it needs to grapple honestly with its uncertainties—not reframe every miss as proof of an unknowable, ever-shifting reality...

Although Project 2025 has hits and misses regarding NOAA,  NOAA acutely needs reform.   Major reform.   Reform that will enable it to serve its mission better.   Reform that will make it more effective and reduce...

Steve Milloy of JunkScience summed it up aptly by calling Mann’s prediction “the wrongest count ever predicted.” While that might sound harsh, it’s tough to argue with the numbers. Mann didn’t just miss the bullseye—he...

Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely contradict the conventional theories on climate...

As I noted at the time, the Met Office’s warning did not even tally with their own 3-Month Outlook, and was clearly designed as pure spin intended to scare the public.

Professional climate alarmist Michael Mann said human-caused global warming would prime the Atlantic Ocean to produce 33 named storms and several major hurricanes to lash the United States...

In any case, our actual forecast is looking darn good.

Could somebody remind me why we need a Met Office?